Away team
Edmonton Oilers
40.4%
Fair American
+148
Fair decimal
2.48
Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 17, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 17, 2026.
November 17, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 59.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
59.6%
Fair American
-148
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 17, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.39
- ROI
- 6.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.07
- ROI
- -0.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
138:11 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.70 / 6.01
Defense pair
143:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 140
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 99
- Corsi share
- 38.3%
- Fenwick share
- 38.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.69 / 5.54
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 130
- Save %
- 86.2
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 27.7
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 2.94
- xG differential / game
- 0.09
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.0
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 15.5% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 16 |
| 0.750 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 52 | Goals for | 39 |
| 43 | Goals against | 37 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 2 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 3 |
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 10 | Points | 4 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 38 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
4 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
6 wins
Total goals30 – 41
Goal differential
-11
/
+11
Goals per game3.0 / 4.1
Shots per game31.1 / 34.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 0 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Florida Panthers
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 38 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 36 | View |
| Dec 16, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 5 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
5 - 1 | 39 - 39 | View |
| Nov 20, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 5 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Nov 28, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 40 | View |
| Nov 12, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 42 | View |
| Feb 26, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 47 | View |
| Jan 20, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 0 | 28 - 40 | View |