Away team
Edmonton Oilers
54.8%
Fair American
-121
Fair decimal
1.82
Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 27, 2027
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 27, 2027.
February 27, 2027
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 54.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
45.2%
Fair American
+121
Fair decimal
2.21
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 27, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 27.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.93
- ROI
- 10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.71 / 6.11
Defense pair
141:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 90
- Corsi share
- 40.4%
- Fenwick share
- 41.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.22 / 4.74
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 0.773 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 49 | Goals for | 32 |
| 39 | Goals against | 20 |
| 10 | Goal differential | 12 |
| L1 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 44 | Goals for | 32 |
| 33 | Goals against | 16 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
3 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
7 wins
Total goals28 – 44
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game2.8 / 4.4
Shots per game32.3 / 26.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 7 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Mar 26, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 44 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Apr 3, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Nov 2, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 49 | View |
| Mar 16, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 30 | View |