Away team
Edmonton Oilers
44.8%
Fair American
+123
Fair decimal
2.23
Edmonton Oilers vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 30, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 30, 2026.
December 30, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Boston Bruins at 55.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Boston Bruins
55.2%
Fair American
-123
Fair decimal
1.81
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 30, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.39
- ROI
- 6.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.07
- ROI
- -0.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.79
- ROI
- 11.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 30. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
138:11 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.70 / 6.01
Defense pair
143:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 140
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 99
- Corsi share
- 38.3%
- Fenwick share
- 38.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.69 / 5.54
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 45
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.99 / 3.07
Defense pair
113:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 81
- Corsi share
- 44.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 5.77
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 86.3
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 27.5
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 30, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 2.94
- xG differential / game
- 0.09
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 30, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 15.4% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 19 |
| 0.750 | Points % | 0.792 |
| 52 | Goals for | 48 |
| 43 | Goals against | 26 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 22 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 38 | Goals for | 41 |
| 30 | Goals against | 23 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
6 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
4 wins
Total goals31 – 27
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.1 / 2.7
Shots per game31.1 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 2 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 0 | 39 - 26 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 26 | View |
| Mar 5, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Feb 21, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 5 | 36 - 42 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 28 | View |
| Feb 27, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 24 | View |
| Dec 9, 2021 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 2 | 30 - 43 | View |
| Nov 11, 2021 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
5 - 3 | 28 - 29 | View |