Away team
Dallas Stars
39.8%
Fair American
+151
Fair decimal
2.51
Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 20, 2027
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 20, 2027.
March 20, 2027
· 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 60.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Edmonton Oilers
60.2%
Fair American
-151
Fair decimal
1.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 20, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 27.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.93
- ROI
- 10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.71 / 6.11
Defense pair
141:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 90
- Corsi share
- 40.4%
- Fenwick share
- 41.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.22 / 4.74
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 17.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 17 |
| 0.682 | Points % | 0.773 |
| 32 | Goals for | 49 |
| 20 | Goals against | 39 |
| 12 | Goal differential | 10 |
| W5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -4 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 15 | Points | 16 |
| 32 | Goals for | 44 |
| 16 | Goals against | 33 |
| 16 | Goal differential | 11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
7 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
3 wins
Total goals44 – 28
Goal differential
+16
/
-16
Goals per game4.4 / 2.8
Shots per game26.9 / 32.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 7 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Mar 26, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 44 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Apr 3, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Nov 2, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 49 | View |
| Mar 16, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 30 | View |