Forward trio
105:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 110 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 68
- Corsi share
- 54.5%
- Fenwick share
- 54.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.76 / 3.79
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.
March 10, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
122:13 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 113 / 67
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.8%
- xG for / against
- 7.32 / 3.66
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 75 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 59
- Corsi share
- 49.7%
- Fenwick share
- 47.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.38 / 3.51
Defense pair
127:32 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 81
- Corsi share
- 56.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.52 / 5.37
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jet Greaves
Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Mar 9
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 130
- Save %
- 90.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 30.8
Jonas Johansson
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Mar 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 146
- Save %
- 85.6
- Goals allowed
- 21
- Close-range shots %
- 28.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 2.66
- xG differential / game
- 0.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 3.66
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.4
- Faceoff win %
- 47.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.2
- Penalties / game
- 6.9
Shots / game: 32.5 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 0.444 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 22 | Goals for | 38 |
| 30 | Goals against | 34 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
CBJ road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 5 |
| 0 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Points | 10 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 9 |
Last 10 games
|
CBJ
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 22 | Goals for | 37 |
| 30 | Goals against | 29 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CBJ
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals35 – 45
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game3.5 / 4.5
Shots per game31.4 / 33.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
5 - 8 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 4, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 6 | 33 - 40 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 5 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Nov 21, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
6 - 7 | 30 - 43 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 5 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
4 - 2 | 37 - 35 | View |
| Nov 2, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 4 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Jan 10, 2023 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 24 - 46 | View |
| Dec 15, 2022 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 29 | View |