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Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 7, 2027

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 7, 2027.

January 7, 2027 · 7:00 PM MBT
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 62.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

37.5%
Fair American +167
Fair decimal 2.67
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

62.5%
Fair American -167
Fair decimal 1.6
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 7, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%
Corsi for / against
86 / 116
Fenwick for / against
61 / 93
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.6%
xG for / against
3.37 / 7.95
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

149:50 together · 10 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
154 / 142
Fenwick for / against
108 / 105
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
50.7%
xG for / against
6.82 / 4.90
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 7, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.73
xG differential / game
-1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.86
xG differential / game
0.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
40.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
51.0
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 7, 2027.

Chicago Blackhawks

P. Kane Cold · -0.63 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.20 points/game
0.83 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
4.6
T. Teravainen Cold · -0.59 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.59 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
R. Donato Cold · -0.55 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
A. Mangiapane Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.80 points/game
0.29 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.2
T. Bertuzzi Hot · +0.39 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 1.00 points/game
0.61 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
1
Points
4
Shots / game
2.8

New York Rangers

J. Miller Hot · +1.17 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 2.00 points/game
0.83 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
5
Points
8
Shots / game
2.8
M. Zibanejad Cold · -0.62 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.25 points/game
0.87 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.3
S. Durzi Cold · -0.43 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
P. Dorofeyev Hot · +0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.00 points/game
0.69 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
1
Points
5
Shots / game
2.4
M. Pettersson Hot · +0.23 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.50 points/game
0.27 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
9Points21
0.250Points %0.553
39Goals for56
76Goals against55
-37Goal differential1
L4Current streakL1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
9Games10
0Wins8
1Points16
-29Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
1-8-1Record4-5-1
3Points9
18Goals for28
44Goals against34
-26Goal differential-6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 7 wins
Total goals22 – 39
Goal differential -17 / +17
Goals per game2.2 / 3.9
Shots per game27.0 / 30.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 27, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 6 28 - 39 View
Dec 10, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
0 - 3 21 - 25 View
Jan 5, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 34 - 27 View
Dec 9, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 1 32 - 30 View
Feb 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 35 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 23 - 32 View
Dec 18, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
7 - 1 26 - 30 View
Dec 3, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 21 - 28 View
Dec 7, 2021
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 30 - 26 View
Dec 4, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 27 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.