Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Odds & Win Probability | January 2, 2027

January 2, 2027 · 8:00 PM MBT

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

4-13-1

37.9%

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Dallas Stars

10-5-2

62.1% Model pick

Model V2 pick: Dallas Stars at 62.1%

Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

37.9%

Fair American +164

Fair decimal 2.64

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Home team

Dallas Stars

62.1%

Fair American -164

Fair decimal 1.61

Calculate value

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 2, 2027.

Chicago Blackhawks

All Model Picks

Bets: 5
Record: 3-2
Net units: 1.46
ROI: 29.2%

Value Picks

Bets: 14
Record: 4-10
Net units: -5.13
ROI: -36.6%

Market Favourite

Bets: 0
Record: 0-0
Net units: 0.00
ROI: —

Full team betting results

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets: 7
Record: 4-3
Net units: -1.00
ROI: -14.3%

Value Picks

Bets: 0
Record: 0-0
Net units: 0.00
ROI: —

Market Favourite

Bets: 15
Record: 9-6
Net units: -0.62
ROI: -4.1%

Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

44:02 together · 7 games

xG share34.3%

Corsi for / against: 35 / 49
Fenwick for / against: 25 / 39
Corsi share: 41.7%
Fenwick share: 39.1%
xG for / against: 1.52 / 2.90

Defense pair

110:39 together · 10 games

xG share29.7%

Corsi for / against: 86 / 116
Fenwick for / against: 61 / 93
Corsi share: 42.6%
Fenwick share: 39.6%
xG for / against: 3.37 / 7.95

All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%

Corsi for / against: 39 / 43
Fenwick for / against: 29 / 23
Corsi share: 47.6%
Fenwick share: 55.8%
xG for / against: 2.03 / 1.74

Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%

Corsi for / against: 92 / 57
Fenwick for / against: 63 / 31
Corsi share: 61.7%
Fenwick share: 67.0%
xG for / against: 4.74 / 2.11

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Dallas Stars

Expected starter unavailable.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 2, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Chicago Blackhawks

S. Knight

GP: 14
Starts: 13
Wins: 4
Save %: 0.882
GAA: 3.66

A. Soderblom

GP: 5
Starts: 4
Wins: 0
Save %: 0.842
GAA: 4.67

Dallas Stars

J. Oettinger

GP: 13
Starts: 13
Wins: 9
Save %: 0.906
GAA: 1.99

C. DeSmith

GP: 4
Starts: 4
Wins: 1
Save %: 0.909
GAA: 2.42

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 129
Save %: 86.0
Goals allowed: 18
Close-range shots %: 39.5

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 112
Save %: 85.7
Goals allowed: 16
Close-range shots %: 33.9

Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 2, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game: 2.58
xG against / game: 3.73
xG differential / game: -1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game: 3.45
xG against / game: 2.68
xG differential / game: 0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 2, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 52.6
Corsi share (%): 47.5
Fenwick share (%): 45.1
Faceoff win %: 40.2
Penalties / game: 4.0

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 53.0
Corsi share (%): 51.2
Fenwick share (%): 53.3
Faceoff win %: 58.4
Penalties / game: 4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 2, 2027.

Chicago Blackhawks

P. Kane Cold · -0.58 P/GP

4 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.25 points/game
0.83 points/game across 150 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 1
Points: 1
Shots / game: 2.5

A. Levshunov Hot · +0.45 P/GP

4 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.75 points/game
0.30 points/game across 100 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.8

N. Lardis Cold · -0.39 P/GP

3 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 44 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.7

R. Greene Cold · -0.34 P/GP

4 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.34 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.5

B. Byram Hot · +0.28 P/GP

4 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.75 points/game
0.47 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.0

Dallas Stars

R. Hintz Cold · -0.69 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.20 points/game
0.89 points/game across 140 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 0
Points: 1
Shots / game: 2.4

T. Harley Cold · -0.41 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.20 points/game
0.61 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 1
Points: 1
Shots / game: 1.6

D. Perron Hot · +0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.75 points/game
0.38 points/game across 108 games vs other opponents

Goals: 3
Assists: 0
Points: 3
Shots / game: 0.8

M. Rantanen Hot · +0.26 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 1.40 points/game
1.14 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals: 3
Assists: 4
Points: 7
Shots / game: 3.2

S. Steel Hot · +0.25 P/GP

5 games vs Chicago Blackhawks · 0.60 points/game
0.35 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 3
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.2

How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview

CHI	Metric	DAL
9	Points	22
0.250	Points %	0.647
39	Goals for	49
76	Goals against	41
-37	Goal differential	8
L4	Current streak	W1

Road versus home

CHI road	Metric	DAL home
9	Games	10
0	Wins	6
1	Points	12
-29	Goal differential	1

Last 10 games

CHI	Metric	DAL
1-8-1	Record	7-2-1
3	Points	15
18	Goals for	33
44	Goals against	28
-26	Goal differential	5

History

Last 10 head-to-head games

CHI 4 wins

10 games reviewed

DAL 6 wins

Total goals25 – 33

Goal differential -8 / +8

Goals per game2.5 / 3.3

Shots per game24.5 / 32.5

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Oct 17, 2026	Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks	4 - 0	32 - 19	View
Mar 8, 2026	Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars	3 - 4	19 - 31	View
Jan 1, 2026	Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks	3 - 4	25 - 21	View
Dec 27, 2025	Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars	4 - 3	33 - 31	View
Dec 29, 2024	Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks	5 - 1	35 - 25	View
Nov 27, 2024	Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks	2 - 6	27 - 26	View
Nov 7, 2024	Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars	1 - 3	26 - 40	View
Oct 26, 2024	Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars	2 - 4	24 - 30	View
Apr 6, 2024	Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks	2 - 3	44 - 17	View
Jan 13, 2024	Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks	3 - 1	30 - 35	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 2, 2027

Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars

Chicago Blackhawks

Dallas Stars

Model V2 versus market

Chicago Blackhawks

Dallas Stars

Team performance leading into this game

Chicago Blackhawks

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Forward trios & defense pairs

Chicago Blackhawks

Dallas Stars

Expected starters

Every recorded goalie

Chicago Blackhawks

Dallas Stars

Recent starting goalies

Recent expected goals

Team tendencies before this game

Hot & cold against the other team

Chicago Blackhawks

Dallas Stars

Want the full picture?

Season and recent form

Last 10 head-to-head games