Skip to content

Carolina Hurricanes vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 24, 2026.

March 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:42 together · 10 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
121 / 82
Fenwick for / against
88 / 65
Corsi share
59.6%
Fenwick share
57.5%
xG for / against
5.78 / 4.29
Defense pair

162:14 together · 10 games

xG share57.6%
Corsi for / against
182 / 126
Fenwick for / against
130 / 84
Corsi share
59.1%
Fenwick share
60.7%
xG for / against
9.45 / 6.95
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

102:47 together · 10 games

xG share39.8%
Corsi for / against
100 / 108
Fenwick for / against
82 / 80
Corsi share
48.1%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
4.54 / 6.88
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Frederik Andersen

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
41.0

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
88.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
4.00
xG against / game
2.86
xG differential / game
1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.86
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
69.1
Corsi share (%)
59.5
Fenwick share (%)
60.4
Faceoff win %
48.1
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 34.0 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.2
Corsi share (%)
51.1
Fenwick share (%)
53.4
Faceoff win %
53.2
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
22Points16
0.786Points %0.667
53Goals for38
34Goals against36
19Goal differential2
W2Current streakW3
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
9Games6
7Wins3
15Points7
15Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
8-1-1Record6-3-1
17Points13
42Goals for30
22Goals against28
20Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 3 wins
Total goals36 – 25
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.6 / 2.5
Shots per game32.8 / 21.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 1, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
7 - 5 23 - 25 View
Apr 16, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 4 29 - 22 View
Mar 28, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 15 - 24 View
Feb 25, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
0 - 4 20 - 18 View
Mar 30, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 0 30 - 26 View
Mar 7, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 25 - 39 View
Dec 28, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 5 21 - 31 View
Apr 1, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 0 50 - 14 View
Mar 7, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 3 39 - 24 View
Feb 16, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 6 22 - 41 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.