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Carolina Hurricanes vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 22, 2026.

October 22, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

5 Model pick
Final
Home

Edmonton Oilers

8-2-2

6
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 51.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

51.3%
Fair American -105
Fair decimal 1.95
Best market -118 · DraftKings
Market implied 54.1%
Edge -2.8%
Expected value -5.2%
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

48.7%
Fair American +105
Fair decimal 2.05
Best market +107 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 48.3%
Edge +0.4%
Expected value +0.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 22, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

156:54 together · 10 games

xG share52.1%
Corsi for / against
171 / 128
Fenwick for / against
119 / 97
Corsi share
57.2%
Fenwick share
55.1%
xG for / against
7.51 / 6.90
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

130:26 together · 9 games

xG share59.0%
Corsi for / against
137 / 88
Fenwick for / against
103 / 72
Corsi share
60.9%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
7.21 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Carolina Hurricanes

Pyotr Kochetkov 59.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Pyotr Kochetkov?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.578
Team win pct before
-0.384
Goalie win pct before
+0.381
Prev save pct
-0.361
Started last game
-0.335
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 22, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Edmonton Oilers

Devon Levi 67.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Devon Levi?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.863
Team win pct before
-0.491
Started last game
-0.398
Goalie win pct before
+0.217
Won previous appearance
+0.188
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 22, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
101
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
31.7

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
145
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
35.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
4.10
xG against / game
2.54
xG differential / game
1.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.18
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.40

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
72.3
Corsi share (%)
61.8
Fenwick share (%)
62.0
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 36.0 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Edmonton Oilers

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
53.1
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.2
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
3.67

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 18.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
22Points18
0.786Points %0.750
53Goals for52
34Goals against43
19Goal differential9
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
9Games7
7Wins3
15Points8
15Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
8-1-1Record7-2-1
17Points15
42Goals for38
22Goals against30
20Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 4 wins
Total goals36 – 31
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.6 / 3.1
Shots per game33.5 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 6, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
6 - 3 32 - 16 View
Nov 15, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 3 23 - 36 View
Mar 1, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 1 31 - 36 View
Oct 22, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 2 33 - 35 View
Dec 6, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 6 39 - 34 View
Nov 22, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 6 23 - 27 View
Nov 10, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 7 22 - 32 View
Oct 20, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 6 40 - 33 View
Feb 27, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 2 30 - 29 View
Dec 11, 2021
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 1 31 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR EDM