Away team
Calgary Flames
41.9%
Fair American
+139
Fair decimal
2.39
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 13, 2027
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 13, 2027.
February 13, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vegas Golden Knights at 58.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vegas Golden Knights
58.1%
Fair American
-139
Fair decimal
1.72
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 13, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 19 |
| 0.455 | Points % | 0.679 |
| 28 | Goals for | 51 |
| 41 | Goals against | 39 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 12 |
| W4 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Points | 12 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 27 | Goals for | 34 |
| 35 | Goals against | 29 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
3 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
7 wins
Total goals25 – 41
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game2.5 / 4.1
Shots per game26.9 / 34.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 6 | 30 - 33 | View |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 6 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 37 - 26 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 6 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 5 | 42 - 28 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 2 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 3 | 31 - 37 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 5 | 16 - 38 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 37 | View |