Skip to content

Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 2, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 2, 2026.

April 2, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

110:58 together · 10 games

xG share48.2%
Corsi for / against
106 / 100
Fenwick for / against
85 / 77
Corsi share
51.5%
Fenwick share
52.5%
xG for / against
4.45 / 4.78
Defense pair

126:20 together · 9 games

xG share41.1%
Corsi for / against
95 / 123
Fenwick for / against
74 / 98
Corsi share
43.6%
Fenwick share
43.0%
xG for / against
4.08 / 5.86
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:44 together · 10 games

xG share67.5%
Corsi for / against
114 / 74
Fenwick for / against
85 / 50
Corsi share
60.6%
Fenwick share
63.0%
xG for / against
6.28 / 3.03
Defense pair

142:53 together · 10 games

xG share64.7%
Corsi for / against
171 / 107
Fenwick for / against
131 / 78
Corsi share
61.5%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
8.84 / 4.82
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 30

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
29.8

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 30

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.59

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.37
xG differential / game
0.95

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.1
Corsi share (%)
45.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.9
Faceoff win %
51.6
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.6
Corsi share (%)
56.8
Fenwick share (%)
57.7
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 29.8 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
10Points17
0.455Points %0.654
28Goals for47
41Goals against38
-13Goal differential9
W4Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
4Games7
1Wins5
2Points10
-10Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
5-5-0Record6-3-1
10Points13
27Goals for36
35Goals against30
-8Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
Total goals27 – 35
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.7 / 3.5
Shots per game27.4 / 34.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 20, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 6 37 - 26 View
Oct 18, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 6 27 - 28 View
Oct 14, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 2 30 - 29 View
Apr 15, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 5 42 - 28 View
Apr 5, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 2 34 - 23 View
Dec 29, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 3 31 - 37 View
Oct 28, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 5 16 - 38 View
Mar 14, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 29 - 37 View
Jan 13, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 1 26 - 32 View
Dec 12, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 5 31 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.