Away team
Calgary Flames
35.8%
Fair American
+179
Fair decimal
2.79
Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 17, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 17, 2026.
December 17, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 64.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
64.2%
Fair American
-179
Fair decimal
1.56
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Points | 106 |
| 0.470 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 212 | Goals for | 290 |
| 259 | Goals against | 231 |
| -47 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 11 | Wins | 26 |
| 26 | Points | 53 |
| -60 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 30 | Goals for | 26 |
| 37 | Goals against | 30 |
| -7 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
5 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
5 wins
Total goals30 – 36
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game3.0 / 3.6
Shots per game30.1 / 27.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
8 - 3 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
6 - 3 | 24 - 22 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 24 - 41 | View |
| Nov 17, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 40 - 24 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 32 | View |
| Jan 6, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 33 | View |