Away team
Calgary Flames
51.0%
Fair American
-104
Fair decimal
1.96
Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 15, 2026
NHL matchup
Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 15, 2026.
November 15, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 51.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Anaheim Ducks
49.0%
Fair American
+104
Fair decimal
2.04
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 15, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 2.13
- ROI
- 35.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 3.94
- ROI
- 78.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.15
- ROI
- -7.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Calgary Flames
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAnaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
40:52 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 38 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 25 / 24
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 51.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.17 / 1.50
Defense pair
86:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 77 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 64
- Corsi share
- 46.7%
- Fenwick share
- 45.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.41 / 5.93
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Anaheim Ducks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 91.2
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 26.4
Lukas Dostal
Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 88.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.63
- xG against / game
- 3.26
- xG differential / game
- -0.62
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Anaheim Ducks
- xG for / game
- 2.91
- xG against / game
- 3.60
- xG differential / game
- -0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 44.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CGY
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 0.400 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 23 | Goals for | 32 |
| 39 | Goals against | 37 |
| -16 | Goal differential | -5 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CGY road
|
Metric |
ANA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Points | 2 |
| -10 | Goal differential | -6 |
Last 10 games
|
CGY
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6-0 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 8 | Points | 8 |
| 23 | Goals for | 28 |
| 39 | Goals against | 34 |
| -16 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CGY
5 wins
10
games reviewed
ANA
5 wins
Total goals32 – 27
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.2 / 2.7
Shots per game31.5 / 29.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
4 - 2 | 36 - 25 | View |
| Oct 10, 2026 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
5 - 3 | 20 - 39 | View |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 36 | View |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Apr 9, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 4 | 39 - 23 | View |
| Apr 3, 2025 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Jan 30, 2025 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 2 | 33 - 28 | View |