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Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2026

NHL matchup

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 1, 2026.

March 1, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

151:14 together · 10 games

xG share55.7%
Corsi for / against
165 / 114
Fenwick for / against
106 / 88
Corsi share
59.1%
Fenwick share
54.6%
xG for / against
6.93 / 5.51
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:38 together · 10 games

xG share44.6%
Corsi for / against
142 / 135
Fenwick for / against
104 / 95
Corsi share
51.3%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
6.48 / 8.03
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Feb 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
26.8

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Feb 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
144
Save %
89.6
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.81
xG against / game
3.16
xG differential / game
-0.35

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
3.56
xG differential / game
-0.29

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.7
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
50.7
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 7.0% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 29.1 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
10Points11
0.455Points %0.458
28Goals for37
41Goals against43
-13Goal differential-6
W4Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Calgary Flames CGY road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
4Games5
1Wins1
2Points3
-10Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Calgary Flames CGY
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
5-5-0Record3-6-1
10Points7
27Goals for30
35Goals against38
-8Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Calgary Flames CGY 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 3 wins
Total goals39 – 25
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.9 / 2.5
Shots per game35.0 / 24.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 25, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 21 - 35 View
Apr 9, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 39 - 23 View
Apr 3, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 27 - 34 View
Jan 30, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 31 - 30 View
Jan 7, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 33 - 28 View
Apr 12, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 3 27 - 22 View
Apr 2, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 3 29 - 24 View
Dec 21, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 0 44 - 25 View
Apr 2, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 5 22 - 41 View
Mar 21, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 43 - 20 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.