Away team
Boston Bruins
48.7%
Fair American
+105
Fair decimal
2.05
Boston Bruins vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 19, 2027
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 19, 2027.
February 19, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 51.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Edmonton Oilers
51.3%
Fair American
-105
Fair decimal
1.95
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 19, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.79
- ROI
- 11.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.39
- ROI
- 6.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.07
- ROI
- -0.7%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 45
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.99 / 3.07
Defense pair
113:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 81
- Corsi share
- 44.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 5.77
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
138:11 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.70 / 6.01
Defense pair
143:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 140
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 99
- Corsi share
- 38.3%
- Fenwick share
- 38.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.69 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 86.3
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 27.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 2.94
- xG differential / game
- 0.09
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 15.4% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BOS
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 18 |
| 0.792 | Points % | 0.750 |
| 48 | Goals for | 52 |
| 26 | Goals against | 43 |
| 22 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W2 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 41 | Goals for | 38 |
| 23 | Goals against | 30 |
| 18 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
4 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
6 wins
Total goals27 – 31
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.7 / 3.1
Shots per game28.2 / 31.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 2 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 0 | 39 - 26 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 26 | View |
| Mar 5, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Feb 21, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 5 | 36 - 42 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 28 | View |
| Feb 27, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 24 | View |
| Dec 9, 2021 |
Boston Bruins
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 2 | 30 - 43 | View |
| Nov 11, 2021 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Boston Bruins
|
5 - 3 | 28 - 29 | View |