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Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 28, 2026.

March 28, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:50 together · 6 games

xG share47.9%
Corsi for / against
66 / 63
Fenwick for / against
42 / 41
Corsi share
51.2%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
2.94 / 3.21
Defense pair

131:30 together · 10 games

xG share51.7%
Corsi for / against
126 / 113
Fenwick for / against
92 / 83
Corsi share
52.7%
Fenwick share
52.6%
xG for / against
6.16 / 5.74
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

142:33 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
149 / 108
Fenwick for / against
106 / 85
Corsi share
58.0%
Fenwick share
55.5%
xG for / against
8.72 / 5.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ville Husso

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
159
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
29.6

Connor Ingram

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Mar 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.46
xG differential / game
0.07

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.31
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.8
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
51.5
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
4.8

Shots / game: 30.9 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.8
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
11Points20
0.458Points %0.769
37Goals for56
43Goals against43
-6Goal differential13
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
7Games8
4Wins4
8Points10
1Goal differential-1
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
3-6-1Record7-2-1
7Points15
30Goals for39
38Goals against29
-8Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 6 wins
Total goals34 – 48
Goal differential -14 / +14
Goals per game3.4 / 4.8
Shots per game28.0 / 32.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 25, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 6 27 - 29 View
Jan 26, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 7 40 - 32 View
Apr 7, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 47 - 21 View
Mar 4, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
6 - 2 27 - 35 View
Jan 3, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 29 - 26 View
Dec 29, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 5 23 - 32 View
Mar 30, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 6 22 - 37 View
Feb 9, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 3 32 - 27 View
Dec 31, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
7 - 2 39 - 30 View
Nov 26, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 8 23 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.