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Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.

October 10, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-1

4 Model pick
Final
Home

Calgary Flames

5-6-0

2
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 50.4% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Anaheim Ducks logo
Away team

Anaheim Ducks

50.4%
Fair American -102
Fair decimal 1.98
Best market -118 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 54.1%
Edge -3.7%
Expected value -6.9%
Calculate value
Calgary Flames logo
Home team

Calgary Flames

49.6%
Fair American +102
Fair decimal 2.02
Best market +108 · BetRivers
Market implied 48.1%
Edge +1.5%
Expected value +3.2%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 10, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
1.22
ROI
40.7%

Value Picks

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
72.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—
Full team betting results

Calgary Flames

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
0-2
Net units
-2.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
4
Record
0-4
Net units
-4.00
ROI
-100.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

30:39 together · 4 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
27 / 33
Fenwick for / against
17 / 21
Corsi share
45.0%
Fenwick share
44.7%
xG for / against
1.56 / 1.18
Defense pair

46:39 together · 4 games

xG share45.5%
Corsi for / against
38 / 43
Fenwick for / against
28 / 29
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
49.1%
xG for / against
1.63 / 1.95
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

29:46 together · 3 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
48 / 30
Fenwick for / against
29 / 19
Corsi share
61.5%
Fenwick share
60.4%
xG for / against
1.74 / 1.70
Defense pair

55:29 together · 4 games

xG share43.8%
Corsi for / against
53 / 63
Fenwick for / against
40 / 47
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
46.0%
xG for / against
2.20 / 2.82
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 9

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
95
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
28.4

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 8

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
55
Save %
81.8
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
23.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.94
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.16

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.37
xG against / game
3.32
xG differential / game
-0.94

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
50.5
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
47.2
Faceoff win %
44.8
Penalties / game
4.25

Shots / game: 22.0 · Shooting: 15.9% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Calgary Flames

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
67.8
Corsi share (%)
53.3
Fenwick share (%)
51.2
Faceoff win %
47.8
Penalties / game
4.75

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 5.4% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
11Points10
0.458Points %0.455
37Goals for28
43Goals against41
-6Goal differential-13
OT1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
7Games7
4Wins4
8Points8
1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
3-6-1Record5-5-0
7Points10
30Goals for27
38Goals against35
-8Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 5 wins
Total goals29 – 35
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.9 / 3.5
Shots per game28.9 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 4, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 3 20 - 39 View
Mar 26, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 2 33 - 25 View
Mar 1, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 34 - 36 View
Jan 25, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 21 - 35 View
Apr 9, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 39 - 23 View
Apr 3, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 27 - 34 View
Jan 30, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 4 31 - 30 View
Jan 7, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 33 - 28 View
Apr 12, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 3 27 - 22 View
Apr 2, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
5 - 3 29 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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