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Winnipeg Jets vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 2, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 2, 2026.

December 2, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 63.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 2, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-0.82
ROI
-13.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

All Model Picks

Bets
11
Record
7-4
Net units
1.27
ROI
11.6%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
5-2
Net units
2.46
ROI
35.2%

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
1.21
ROI
13.5%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

135:56 together · 10 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
159 / 130
Fenwick for / against
120 / 104
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair

121:50 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
114 / 112
Fenwick for / against
83 / 81
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
4.74 / 5.31
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

69:58 together · 7 games

xG share77.8%
Corsi for / against
101 / 56
Fenwick for / against
75 / 37
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
6.21 / 1.77
Defense pair

119:15 together · 10 games

xG share61.9%
Corsi for / against
146 / 103
Fenwick for / against
100 / 71
Corsi share
58.6%
Fenwick share
58.5%
xG for / against
7.66 / 4.72
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
38.2

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
84.7
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
26.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.87
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.51

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.73
xG against / game
2.81
xG differential / game
0.92

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.6
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
45.1
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.4
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
55.3
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
11Points16
0.500Points %0.667
27Goals for46
31Goals against40
-4Goal differential6
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
5Games5
2Wins4
6Points8
-1Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
4-4-2Record6-4-0
10Points12
24Goals for36
27Goals against39
-3Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 0 wins
3 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 3 wins
Total goals8 – 12
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.67 / 4.0
Shots per game26.7 / 30.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 14, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
3 - 5 24 - 36 View
Dec 21, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
3 - 4 26 - 22 View
Oct 26, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 32 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.