Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on January 29, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 53.4% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(53.4%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 29, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Winnipeg Jets
46.6%
Fair American: +115
Fair Decimal: 2.15
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.4%
Fair American: -115
Fair Decimal: 1.87
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Points | 106 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 231 | Goals For | 290 |
| 260 | Goals Against | 231 |
| -29 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| L4 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
WPG (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 16 | Wins | 26 |
| 38 | Points | 53 |
| -26 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 26 | Goals For | 26 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 30 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
WPG
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 38 | Total Goals | 37 |
| +1 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 3.8 | Goals / Game | 3.7 |
| 26.9 | Shots / Game | 31.0 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
4 - 7 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Mar 12, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Jan 6, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 20 | View |
| Apr 16, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 7 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Mar 8, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
4 - 7 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Jan 17, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
7 - 1 | 26 - 31 | View |
| Nov 16, 2019 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 34 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.