Forward trio
50:06 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 36 / 50
- Fenwick for / against
- 27 / 30
- Corsi share
- 41.9%
- Fenwick share
- 47.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.15 / 1.75
Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 28, 2026.
March 28, 2026
· 9:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
97:08 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 61
- Corsi share
- 55.2%
- Fenwick share
- 54.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.17 / 4.15
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:20 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 45
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 60.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.01 / 2.80
Defense pair
137:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 178 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 140 / 70
- Corsi share
- 65.2%
- Fenwick share
- 66.7%
- xG for / against
- 9.30 / 4.40
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 156
- Save %
- 92.9
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 25.6
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 91
- Save %
- 85.7
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.10
- xG against / game
- 3.52
- xG differential / game
- -0.42
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.11
- xG against / game
- 2.53
- xG differential / game
- 0.59
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.0
- Faceoff win %
- 48.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 34.7 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.8
- Faceoff win %
- 52.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 7.3% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 17 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.654 |
| 34 | Goals for | 47 |
| 32 | Goals against | 38 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 34 | Goals for | 36 |
| 32 | Goals against | 30 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
4 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
6 wins
Total goals25 – 27
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game2.5 / 2.7
Shots per game26.2 / 31.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Nov 17, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 4 | 22 - 36 | View |
| Nov 14, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 3 | 35 - 31 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 6 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Nov 1, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Apr 20, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Jan 24, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 0 | 29 - 34 | View |
| Feb 17, 2020 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 29 | View |