Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights matchup on March 28, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Vegas Golden Knights a 54.6% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Vegas Golden Knights
(54.6%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 28, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Washington Capitals
45.4%
Fair American: +120
Fair Decimal: 2.2
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights
54.6%
Fair American: -120
Fair Decimal: 1.83
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 95 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.579 |
| 263 | Goals For | 265 |
| 244 | Goals Against | 250 |
| 19 | Goal Differential | 15 |
| W4 | Current Streak | W3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
WSH (Road)
|
Metric |
VGK (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 20 |
| 40 | Points | 49 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | 19 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 7-0-3 |
| 16 | Points | 17 |
| 43 | Goals For | 40 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | 15 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
WSH
|
H2H Summary |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 25 | Total Goals | 27 |
| -2 | Goal Differential | +2 |
| 2.5 | Goals / Game | 2.7 |
| 26.2 | Shots / Game | 31.1 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Nov 17, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
1 - 4 | 22 - 36 | View |
| Nov 14, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
0 - 3 | 35 - 31 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 6 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Nov 1, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Apr 20, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Jan 24, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
1 - 0 | 29 - 34 | View |
| Feb 17, 2020 |
Washington Capitals
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 29 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.