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Washington Capitals vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 26, 2026

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 26, 2026.

March 26, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

86:15 together · 10 games

xG share59.6%
Corsi for / against
85 / 68
Fenwick for / against
64 / 49
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
56.6%
xG for / against
4.80 / 3.26
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:53 together · 9 games

xG share65.2%
Corsi for / against
78 / 47
Fenwick for / against
56 / 30
Corsi share
62.4%
Fenwick share
65.1%
xG for / against
3.91 / 2.09
Defense pair

139:36 together · 10 games

xG share44.3%
Corsi for / against
137 / 128
Fenwick for / against
90 / 96
Corsi share
51.7%
Fenwick share
48.4%
xG for / against
5.56 / 6.99
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Logan Thompson

Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
150
Save %
94.0
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
26.0

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
30.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.13
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.07

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
2.95
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.25

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.6
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
48.1
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
12Points16
0.600Points %0.615
34Goals for47
32Goals against43
2Goal differential4
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
3Games6
1Wins4
2Points8
-1Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
6-4-0Record6-4-0
12Points12
34Goals for35
32Goals against38
2Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 0 wins
1 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
Total goals2 – 3
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.0 / 3.0
Shots per game25.0 / 23.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 3, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 23 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.