Away team
Washington Capitals
38.4%
Fair American
+160
Fair decimal
2.6
Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 17, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 17, 2026.
November 17, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 61.6%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
61.6%
Fair American
-160
Fair decimal
1.62
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 106 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 263 | Goals for | 290 |
| 244 | Goals against | 231 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W4 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 26 |
| 40 | Points | 53 |
| -11 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 16 | Points | 10 |
| 43 | Goals for | 26 |
| 33 | Goals against | 30 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals25 – 32
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.5 / 3.2
Shots per game29.8 / 24.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 3 | 16 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 1 | 19 - 21 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 21 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 34 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 3 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Dec 23, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 1 | 20 - 34 | View |
| Mar 30, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 31 - 34 | View |