Forward trio
41:21 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 24 / 42
- Fenwick for / against
- 19 / 32
- Corsi share
- 36.4%
- Fenwick share
- 37.3%
- xG for / against
- 1.43 / 2.56
Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2026.
January 24, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
65:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 71 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 52
- Corsi share
- 49.7%
- Fenwick share
- 51.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.52 / 2.32
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
96:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 62
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.58 / 4.00
Defense pair
168:32 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 185 / 128
- Fenwick for / against
- 146 / 96
- Corsi share
- 59.1%
- Fenwick share
- 60.3%
- xG for / against
- 12.54 / 5.45
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 23
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 28.2
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Jan 22
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 111
- Save %
- 88.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 30.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.20
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- 0.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 4.10
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 1.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.6
- Faceoff win %
- 52.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 32.0 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 29.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 18 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.750 |
| 34 | Goals for | 52 |
| 32 | Goals against | 43 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 34 | Goals for | 38 |
| 32 | Goals against | 30 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
5 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
5 wins
Total goals36 – 40
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.6 / 4.0
Shots per game28.9 / 32.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 7 | 30 - 22 | View |
| Feb 23, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 7 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 2 | 14 - 32 | View |
| Mar 13, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 7 | 25 - 37 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 0 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Dec 5, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 2 | 50 - 30 | View |
| Nov 7, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 5 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Mar 9, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 32 - 40 | View |
| Feb 2, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 3 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Oct 24, 2019 |
Washington Capitals
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 40 | View |