Away team
Washington Capitals
38.1%
Fair American
+162
Fair decimal
2.62
Washington Capitals vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 31, 2026.
December 31, 2026
· 1:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Columbus Blue Jackets at 61.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Columbus Blue Jackets
61.9%
Fair American
-162
Fair decimal
1.62
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 31, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 2.30
- ROI
- 28.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.22
- ROI
- -40.8%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.03
- ROI
- 0.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.48
- ROI
- 9.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsColumbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
87:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 51
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 2.69
Defense pair
124:28 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 113 / 121
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 93
- Corsi share
- 48.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.73 / 7.20
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 142
- Save %
- 88.7
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 31.0
Cam Talbot
Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 89.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 40.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.52
- xG against / game
- 3.20
- xG differential / game
- 0.33
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Columbus Blue Jackets
- xG for / game
- 2.79
- xG against / game
- 3.46
- xG differential / game
- -0.67
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 54.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
CBJ
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 10 |
| 0.636 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 39 | Goals for | 26 |
| 34 | Goals against | 33 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -7 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
CBJ home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
CBJ
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 34 | Goals for | 26 |
| 32 | Goals against | 33 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
8 wins
10
games reviewed
CBJ
2 wins
Total goals31 – 22
Goal differential
+9
/
-9
Goals per game3.1 / 2.2
Shots per game29.0 / 31.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 1 | 21 - 28 | View |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 2 | 39 - 38 | View |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
5 - 1 | 30 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
0 - 7 | 22 - 26 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
2 - 1 | 37 - 33 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 7 | 36 - 22 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Columbus Blue Jackets
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 36 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 36 - 26 | View |