Away team
Washington Capitals
40.6%
Fair American
+146
Fair decimal
2.46
Washington Capitals vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 10, 2027
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Anaheim Ducks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 10, 2027.
January 10, 2027
· 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Anaheim Ducks at 59.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Anaheim Ducks
59.4%
Fair American
-146
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 10, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 2.13
- ROI
- 35.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 3.94
- ROI
- 78.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.15
- ROI
- -7.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
40:52 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 38 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 25 / 24
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 51.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.17 / 1.50
Defense pair
86:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 77 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 64
- Corsi share
- 46.7%
- Fenwick share
- 45.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.41 / 5.93
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Anaheim Ducks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Lukas Dostal
Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 88.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Anaheim Ducks
- xG for / game
- 2.91
- xG against / game
- 3.60
- xG differential / game
- -0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 44.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 34 | Goals for | 32 |
| 32 | Goals against | 37 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -5 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
ANA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 4 |
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Points | 2 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -6 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| 34 | Goals for | 28 |
| 32 | Goals against | 34 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
7 wins
10
games reviewed
ANA
3 wins
Total goals38 – 28
Goal differential
+10
/
-10
Goals per game3.8 / 2.8
Shots per game31.3 / 29.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 7 | 45 - 29 | View |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 38 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
7 - 4 | 43 - 29 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 3 | 19 - 25 | View |
| Jan 16, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 2 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
5 - 4 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Mar 1, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 2 | 39 - 23 | View |
| Feb 23, 2023 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 21 - 43 | View |
| Dec 6, 2021 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Nov 16, 2021 |
Washington Capitals
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 31 | View |