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Vegas Golden Knights vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 24, 2026.

March 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

58:02 together · 6 games

xG share63.4%
Corsi for / against
78 / 50
Fenwick for / against
58 / 35
Corsi share
60.9%
Fenwick share
62.4%
xG for / against
4.01 / 2.31
Defense pair

144:29 together · 10 games

xG share68.0%
Corsi for / against
174 / 97
Fenwick for / against
134 / 68
Corsi share
64.2%
Fenwick share
66.3%
xG for / against
9.31 / 4.39
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

118:02 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
109 / 96
Fenwick for / against
79 / 69
Corsi share
53.2%
Fenwick share
53.4%
xG for / against
4.67 / 4.69
Defense pair

126:44 together · 10 games

xG share54.9%
Corsi for / against
129 / 117
Fenwick for / against
95 / 80
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
6.26 / 5.13
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
89
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
37.1

Eric Comrie

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Mar 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
94.0
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
23.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.23
xG against / game
2.62
xG differential / game
0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.94
xG against / game
2.92
xG differential / game
0.02

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.4
Corsi share (%)
56.4
Fenwick share (%)
57.0
Faceoff win %
53.8
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.1
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.2
Faceoff win %
53.3
Penalties / game
1.6

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
17Points11
0.654Points %0.500
47Goals for27
38Goals against31
9Goal differential-4
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
6Games6
3Wins2
7Points5
1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
6-3-1Record4-4-2
13Points10
36Goals for24
30Goals against27
6Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 1 wins
Total goals38 – 26
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game3.8 / 2.6
Shots per game31.6 / 28.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 6, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 31 - 20 View
Apr 3, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 0 22 - 26 View
Dec 12, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 36 - 20 View
Nov 29, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 25 - 30 View
Mar 28, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 27 - 40 View
Nov 2, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 31 - 26 View
Oct 19, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
5 - 3 27 - 39 View
Dec 13, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
6 - 5 33 - 34 View
Oct 30, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 2 24 - 48 View
Oct 20, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 28 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.