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Vegas Golden Knights vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 25, 2027

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 25, 2027.

March 25, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

8-4-1

58.1% Model pick
at
Home

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

41.9%
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 58.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

58.1%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

41.9%
Fair American +139
Fair decimal 2.39
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 25, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:16 together · 10 games

xG share64.5%
Corsi for / against
113 / 85
Fenwick for / against
83 / 58
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
5.90 / 3.25
Defense pair

154:42 together · 10 games

xG share64.6%
Corsi for / against
179 / 132
Fenwick for / against
132 / 93
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
58.7%
xG for / against
9.12 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.0

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.4
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
17Points5
0.654Points %0.192
47Goals for37
38Goals against60
9Goal differential-23
OT1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
6Games6
3Wins1
7Points2
1Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
6-3-1Record0-9-1
13Points1
36Goals for20
30Goals against45
6Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 1 wins
Total goals36 – 19
Goal differential +17 / -17
Goals per game3.6 / 1.9
Shots per game29.6 / 23.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 4, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 28 - 20 View
Apr 7, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 1 28 - 11 View
Mar 30, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 4 24 - 34 View
Feb 4, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 23 - 31 View
Apr 16, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 31 - 17 View
Apr 6, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 35 - 21 View
Feb 22, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 34 - 35 View
Dec 19, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 20 - 21 View
Apr 8, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 23 - 30 View
Apr 2, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 6 30 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK VAN