Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on January 23, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Vegas Golden Knights a 52.3% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Vegas Golden Knights
(52.3%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 23, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights
52.3%
Fair American: -110
Fair Decimal: 1.91
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
47.7%
Fair American: +110
Fair Decimal: 2.1
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 78 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 265 | Goals For | 253 |
| 250 | Goals Against | 299 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | -46 |
| W3 | Current Streak | L5 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
VGK (Road)
|
Metric |
TOR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 18 |
| 46 | Points | 44 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 17 | Points | 5 |
| 40 | Goals For | 28 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | -19 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
VGK
|
H2H Summary |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 34 | Total Goals | 33 |
| +1 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 3.4 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 29.7 | Shots / Game | 29.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
5 - 6 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
0 - 3 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 2 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
7 - 3 | 42 - 26 | View |
| Nov 8, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Jan 11, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
4 - 3 | 18 - 34 | View |
| Nov 2, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
0 - 4 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2019 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 37 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.