Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
49.2%
Fair American
+103
Fair decimal
2.03
Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 27, 2026.
November 27, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
San Jose Sharks at 50.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
50.8%
Fair American
-103
Fair decimal
1.97
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 27, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.45
- ROI
- 11.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- 0.66
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
128:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 95
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 158
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 13 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 51 | Goals for | 37 |
| 39 | Goals against | 45 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 34 | Goals for | 28 |
| 29 | Goals against | 33 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
10 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
0 wins
Total goals53 – 22
Goal differential
+31
/
-31
Goals per game5.3 / 2.2
Shots per game32.6 / 24.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
San Jose Sharks
|
7 - 2 | 33 - 20 | View |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 7 | 23 - 26 | View |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 24 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 2 | 42 - 21 | View |
| Dec 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
San Jose Sharks
|
6 - 3 | 36 - 25 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 7 | 26 - 42 | View |
| Feb 19, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 0 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Dec 10, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 5 | 38 - 27 | View |
| Nov 10, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 5 | 20 - 39 | View |