Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins matchup on March 1, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Vegas Golden Knights a 50.1% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Vegas Golden Knights (50.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 1, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights logo
Vegas Golden Knights
50.1%
Fair American: -100
Fair Decimal: 2.0
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Pittsburgh Penguins
49.9%
Fair American: +100
Fair Decimal: 2.0
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
95 Points 98
0.579 Points % 0.598
265 Goals For 293
250 Goals Against 268
15 Goal Differential 25
W3 Current Streak L3
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK (Road)
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT (Home)
41 Games 41
19 Wins 20
46 Points 48
-4 Goal Differential 7
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
7-0-3 Record 5-5-0
17 Points 10
40 Goals For 46
25 Goals Against 40
15 Goal Differential 6
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
H2H Summary
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
4-6 Record 6-4
28 Total Goals 28
0 Goal Differential 0
2.8 Goals / Game 2.8
32.5 Shots / Game 29.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 11, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 37 - 17 View
Mar 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 4 22 - 27 View
Jan 20, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 25 - 29 View
Nov 19, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 3 38 - 32 View
Jan 5, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 40 - 31 View
Dec 1, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 4 37 - 47 View
Mar 11, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 5 42 - 33 View
Jan 17, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 3 37 - 26 View
Jan 7, 2020
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 16 - 34 View
Oct 19, 2019
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 0 24 - 29 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.