Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
43.0%
Fair American
+133
Fair decimal
2.33
Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.
December 8, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Montréal Canadiens at 57.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
57.0%
Fair American
-133
Fair decimal
1.75
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsMontréal Canadiens
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 94.4
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 33.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.40
- xG against / game
- 3.23
- xG differential / game
- 0.17
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.7
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 5.2
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 16 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 51 | Goals for | 38 |
| 39 | Goals against | 36 |
| 12 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 34 | Goals for | 30 |
| 29 | Goals against | 28 |
| 5 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
7 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
3 wins
Total goals39 – 31
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.9 / 3.1
Shots per game33.0 / 27.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 26 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 1 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 2 | 28 - 17 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 5 | 42 - 28 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 39 - 25 | View |
| Mar 5, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Nov 5, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 4 | 42 - 31 | View |
| Jan 20, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 53 | View |
| Nov 6, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 2 | 18 - 38 | View |