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Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.

December 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

8-4-1

43.0%
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

6-3-2

57.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Montréal Canadiens at 57.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

43.0%
Fair American +133
Fair decimal 2.33
Calculate value
Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

57.0%
Fair American -133
Fair decimal 1.75
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:16 together · 10 games

xG share64.5%
Corsi for / against
113 / 85
Fenwick for / against
83 / 58
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
5.90 / 3.25
Defense pair

154:42 together · 10 games

xG share64.6%
Corsi for / against
179 / 132
Fenwick for / against
132 / 93
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
58.7%
xG for / against
9.12 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

108:21 together · 10 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
165 / 82
Fenwick for / against
127 / 61
Corsi share
66.8%
Fenwick share
67.6%
xG for / against
7.88 / 4.78
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.0

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
93.7
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.47
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.4
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.6
Corsi share (%)
54.2
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
52.8
Penalties / game
5.5

Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
17Points14
0.654Points %0.636
47Goals for36
38Goals against36
9Goal differential0
OT1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
6Games6
3Wins3
7Points7
1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
6-3-1Record5-3-2
13Points12
36Goals for33
30Goals against34
6Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 3 wins
Total goals39 – 31
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.9 / 3.1
Shots per game33.0 / 27.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 27, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 34 - 26 View
Nov 28, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 1 19 - 31 View
Dec 31, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 2 22 - 29 View
Nov 23, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
6 - 2 28 - 17 View
Nov 16, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
6 - 5 42 - 28 View
Oct 30, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 39 - 25 View
Mar 5, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 28 - 28 View
Nov 5, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
6 - 4 42 - 31 View
Jan 20, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 27 - 53 View
Nov 6, 2021
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 18 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK MTL