Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
36.5%
Fair American
+174
Fair decimal
2.74
Vegas Golden Knights vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.
January 16, 2027
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 63.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
63.5%
Fair American
-174
Fair decimal
1.57
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 16, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 135 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.0%
- Fenwick share
- 59.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.98 / 5.04
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.22
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 16 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 51 | Goals for | 39 |
| 39 | Goals against | 37 |
| 12 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 34 | Goals for | 33 |
| 29 | Goals against | 30 |
| 5 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
3 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
7 wins
Total goals23 – 30
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.3 / 3.0
Shots per game26.7 / 34.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 3 | 17 - 26 | View |
| Jan 26, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 4 | 34 - 26 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 49 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 1 | 36 - 27 | View |
| Dec 23, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Mar 7, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 2 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Jan 12, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 4 | 39 - 33 | View |
| Mar 17, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 5 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Jan 27, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 32 | View |