Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
48.8%
Fair American
+105
Fair decimal
2.05
Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 4, 2026.
March 4, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Detroit Red Wings
at 51.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Detroit Red Wings
51.2%
Fair American
-105
Fair decimal
1.95
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 92 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.561 |
| 265 | Goals for | 241 |
| 250 | Goals against | 258 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -17 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 21 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 2-6-2 |
| 17 | Points | 6 |
| 40 | Goals for | 29 |
| 25 | Goals against | 45 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
5 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
5 wins
Total goals29 – 28
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.9 / 2.8
Shots per game30.5 / 26.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 1 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
0 - 3 | 18 - 27 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 5 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 5 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Dec 3, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Nov 18, 2021 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Nov 7, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 5 | 40 - 30 | View |
| Nov 10, 2019 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 19 | View |