Forward trio
65:19 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 63 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 36
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.02 / 2.45
Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.
March 10, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
108:39 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 97 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 76 / 67
- Corsi share
- 50.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.46 / 3.43
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
95:06 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 50
- Corsi share
- 54.0%
- Fenwick share
- 59.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.51 / 2.91
Defense pair
139:20 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 110
- Fenwick for / against
- 87 / 66
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 56.9%
- xG for / against
- 6.61 / 3.80
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 118
- Save %
- 86.4
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 95
- Save %
- 91.6
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 24.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.14
- xG against / game
- 2.57
- xG differential / game
- 0.57
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.99
- xG against / game
- 2.51
- xG differential / game
- 1.48
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.0
- Faceoff win %
- 52.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 58.3
- Faceoff win %
- 53.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 14.5% · Avg distance: 29.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 0.654 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 47 | Goals for | 32 |
| 38 | Goals against | 20 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 12 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 36 | Goals for | 32 |
| 30 | Goals against | 16 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
4 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
6 wins
Total goals27 – 28
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.8
Shots per game27.5 / 30.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 4 | 27 - 21 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 40 - 28 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 1 | 27 - 20 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 34 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 2 | 20 - 25 | View |
| Feb 25, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 43 - 43 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 0 | 36 - 27 | View |