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Vegas Golden Knights vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2027

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2027.

January 24, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 55.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

55.4%
Fair American -124
Fair decimal 1.81
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

44.6%
Fair American +124
Fair decimal 2.24
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 24, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:16 together · 10 games

xG share64.5%
Corsi for / against
113 / 85
Fenwick for / against
83 / 58
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
5.90 / 3.25
Defense pair

154:42 together · 10 games

xG share64.6%
Corsi for / against
179 / 131
Fenwick for / against
132 / 92
Corsi share
57.7%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
9.12 / 4.99
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:17 together · 9 games

xG share55.1%
Corsi for / against
48 / 57
Fenwick for / against
39 / 42
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair

112:28 together · 10 games

xG share40.8%
Corsi for / against
59 / 104
Fenwick for / against
48 / 77
Corsi share
36.2%
Fenwick share
38.4%
xG for / against
3.26 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.0

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
154
Save %
89.6
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
42.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.38
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-1.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.5
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.1
Corsi share (%)
43.2
Fenwick share (%)
41.9
Faceoff win %
42.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
17Points6
0.654Points %0.273
47Goals for24
38Goals against43
9Goal differential-19
OT1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
6Games7
3Wins3
7Points6
1Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
6-3-1Record3-7-0
13Points6
36Goals for22
30Goals against38
6Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
Total goals41 – 29
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game4.1 / 2.9
Shots per game28.4 / 23.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Sep 29, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 26 - 37 View
Mar 14, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 4 21 - 32 View
Jan 4, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 15 - 20 View
Dec 2, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 30 - 28 View
Mar 28, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 22 - 21 View
Feb 27, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 7 22 - 33 View
Jan 18, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 5 35 - 23 View
Apr 16, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 23 - 37 View
Oct 27, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 24 - 21 View
Oct 21, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 24 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.