Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
52.2%
Fair American
-109
Fair decimal
1.92
Vegas Golden Knights vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 29, 2026.
December 29, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vegas Golden Knights at 52.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
47.8%
Fair American
+109
Fair decimal
2.09
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 29, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 40
- Corsi share
- 41.7%
- Fenwick share
- 44.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair
121:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 85
- Corsi share
- 37.9%
- Fenwick share
- 39.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.65 / 5.24
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 42.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 3.39
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 44.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 8 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 51 | Goals for | 26 |
| 39 | Goals against | 44 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -18 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 34 | Goals for | 24 |
| 29 | Goals against | 33 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
7 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
3 wins
Total goals41 – 29
Goal differential
+12
/
-12
Goals per game4.1 / 2.9
Shots per game28.4 / 23.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 37 | View |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 15 - 20 | View |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 28 | View |
| Mar 28, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 3 | 22 - 21 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 7 | 22 - 33 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 5 | 35 - 23 | View |
| Apr 16, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Oct 27, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 21 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 3 | 24 - 24 | View |