Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
52.4%
Fair American
-110
Fair decimal
1.91
Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 8, 2026.
November 8, 2026
· 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vegas Golden Knights at 52.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Buffalo Sabres
47.6%
Fair American
+110
Fair decimal
2.1
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 8, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -1.66
- ROI
- -23.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 2.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 60
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 3.40
Defense pair
156:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 136 / 94
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.01 / 5.04
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 34
- Corsi share
- 67.1%
- Fenwick share
- 64.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 2.16
Defense pair
82:50 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 49
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.17 / 3.45
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.3
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 26.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.17
- xG against / game
- 3.59
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 13 |
| 0.679 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 51 | Goals for | 33 |
| 39 | Goals against | 41 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 34 | Goals for | 26 |
| 29 | Goals against | 32 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
3 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
7 wins
Total goals27 – 34
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.7 / 3.4
Shots per game31.3 / 28.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 0 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 37 | View |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 7 | 24 - 35 | View |
| Dec 15, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 35 | View |
| Dec 19, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 18 - 43 | View |
| Nov 10, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
7 - 4 | 36 - 35 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Feb 1, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 32 - 35 | View |