Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres matchup on March 3, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Buffalo Sabres a 52.6% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Buffalo Sabres
(52.6%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 3, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights
47.4%
Fair American: +111
Fair Decimal: 2.11
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 109 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.665 |
| 265 | Goals For | 288 |
| 250 | Goals Against | 241 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | 47 |
| W3 | Current Streak | OT1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
VGK (Road)
|
Metric |
BUF (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 26 |
| 46 | Points | 57 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 30 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 17 | Points | 13 |
| 40 | Goals For | 34 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
VGK
|
H2H Summary |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 31 | Total Goals | 35 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | +4 |
| 3.1 | Goals / Game | 3.5 |
| 31.0 | Shots / Game | 29.2 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 37 | View |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 7 | 24 - 35 | View |
| Dec 15, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 35 | View |
| Dec 19, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 2 | 18 - 43 | View |
| Nov 10, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
7 - 4 | 36 - 35 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Feb 1, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 5 | 32 - 35 | View |
| Feb 28, 2020 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Jan 14, 2020 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 26 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.