Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
38.9%
Fair American
+157
Fair decimal
2.57
Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 2, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 2, 2026.
November 2, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Boston Bruins at 61.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Boston Bruins
61.1%
Fair American
-157
Fair decimal
1.64
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 2, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Net units
- 0.54
- ROI
- 4.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.27
- ROI
- 8.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 9-4
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 7.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- -0.21
- ROI
- -2.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinations
Boston Bruins
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Carter Hart
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 125
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 32.0
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 2.78
- xG differential / game
- 0.45
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 3.12
- xG differential / game
- 0.24
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 19 |
| 0.654 | Points % | 0.792 |
| 47 | Goals for | 48 |
| 38 | Goals against | 26 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 22 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 36 | Goals for | 41 |
| 30 | Goals against | 23 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
6 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
4 wins
Total goals35 – 31
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.5 / 3.1
Shots per game31.7 / 29.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 6 | 24 - 37 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 5 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 3 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Feb 29, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 5 | 36 - 32 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Dec 11, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 1 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Dec 5, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 43 | View |
| Mar 3, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 36 | View |
| Dec 14, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 24 | View |