Away team
Vancouver Canucks
36.3%
Fair American
+175
Fair decimal
2.75
Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026
NHL matchup
Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.
October 17, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 63.7%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
63.7%
Fair American
-175
Fair decimal
1.57
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VAN
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Points | 106 |
| 0.354 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 216 | Goals for | 290 |
| 316 | Goals against | 231 |
| -100 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
VAN road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 16 | Wins | 26 |
| 35 | Points | 53 |
| -41 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
VAN
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 31 | Goals for | 26 |
| 43 | Goals against | 30 |
| -12 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VAN
2 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
8 wins
Total goals27 – 37
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game2.7 / 3.7
Shots per game28.3 / 29.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
6 - 2 | 30 - 21 | View |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
6 - 2 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Dec 8, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Oct 19, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 18, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 39 | View |
| Jan 12, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 40 - 35 | View |
| Mar 13, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Jan 13, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 21 | View |