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Vancouver Canucks vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2027

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2027.

March 6, 2027 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Vancouver Canucks

3-16-1

35.6%
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

11-3-4

64.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Montréal Canadiens at 64.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Away team

Vancouver Canucks

35.6%
Fair American +181
Fair decimal 2.81
Calculate value
Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

64.4%
Fair American -181
Fair decimal 1.55
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 6, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:15 together · 9 games

xG share49.5%
Corsi for / against
67 / 51
Fenwick for / against
45 / 29
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
2.56 / 2.61
Defense pair

99:51 together · 10 games

xG share36.0%
Corsi for / against
79 / 94
Fenwick for / against
46 / 70
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
2.67 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

126:13 together · 10 games

xG share59.4%
Corsi for / against
157 / 115
Fenwick for / against
112 / 84
Corsi share
57.7%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
7.47 / 5.12
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 6, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
33.6

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
174
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.45
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.91

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.28
xG against / game
3.43
xG differential / game
-0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.2
Corsi share (%)
46.8
Fenwick share (%)
45.4
Faceoff win %
47.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 22.4 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.5
Corsi share (%)
48.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 6, 2027.

Vancouver Canucks

E. Pettersson Hot · +0.95 P/GP

3 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.67 points/game
0.72 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
4.0
F. Hronek Hot · +0.76 P/GP

3 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.33 points/game
0.57 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
J. Oleksiak Hot · +0.54 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.75 points/game
0.21 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
B. Boeser Cold · -0.44 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.25 points/game
0.69 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.0
F. Chytil Hot · +0.36 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.75 points/game
0.39 points/game across 71 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
2.0

Montréal Canadiens

J. Slafkovský Hot · +1.52 P/GP

4 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 2.25 points/game
0.73 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
6
Points
9
Shots / game
2.0
N. Suzuki Hot · +0.85 P/GP

4 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 2.00 points/game
1.15 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
5
Points
8
Shots / game
2.0
A. Carrier Hot · +0.71 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 1.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
1.0
C. Kreider Hot · +0.46 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 1.00 points/game
0.54 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
5
Points
5
Shots / game
2.2
A. Newhook Cold · -0.43 P/GP

3 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 139 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.3
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
7Points26
0.175Points %0.722
56Goals for62
90Goals against55
-34Goal differential7
L6Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
11Games10
2Wins5
5Points13
-21Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
1-9-0Record7-0-3
2Points17
26Goals for35
45Goals against25
-19Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 5 wins
Total goals37 – 37
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.7 / 3.7
Shots per game30.7 / 27.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 12, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 6 23 - 41 View
Oct 25, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 24 - 31 View
Mar 11, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2 27 - 31 View
Jan 6, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 5 20 - 24 View
Mar 21, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 17 - 25 View
Nov 12, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 37 - 32 View
Dec 5, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 7 26 - 32 View
Nov 9, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 5 33 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 5 25 - 33 View
Nov 29, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 1 42 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VAN MTL