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Vancouver Canucks vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 12, 2026.

January 12, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

46:46 together · 9 games

xG share66.6%
Corsi for / against
57 / 29
Fenwick for / against
45 / 18
Corsi share
66.3%
Fenwick share
71.4%
xG for / against
2.24 / 1.12
Defense pair

85:37 together · 10 games

xG share51.2%
Corsi for / against
89 / 75
Fenwick for / against
59 / 52
Corsi share
54.3%
Fenwick share
53.2%
xG for / against
3.24 / 3.08
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:53 together · 10 games

xG share55.5%
Corsi for / against
140 / 112
Fenwick for / against
97 / 78
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
55.4%
xG for / against
7.14 / 5.72
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Thatcher Demko

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
84.3
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
34.7

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
90.0
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
3.04
xG against / game
3.66
xG differential / game
-0.63

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.64
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
0.38

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.5
Corsi share (%)
52.9
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 8.2% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.5
Corsi share (%)
52.0
Fenwick share (%)
53.8
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 13.3% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
7Points16
0.250Points %0.667
43Goals for38
65Goals against36
-22Goal differential2
W1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
8Games6
2Wins3
5Points7
-14Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
1-8-1Record6-3-1
3Points13
24Goals for30
47Goals against28
-23Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 5 wins
Total goals38 – 36
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.8 / 3.6
Shots per game30.2 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 25, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 24 - 31 View
Mar 11, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2 27 - 31 View
Jan 6, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 5 20 - 24 View
Mar 21, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 17 - 25 View
Nov 12, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 37 - 32 View
Dec 5, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 7 26 - 32 View
Nov 9, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 5 33 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 5 25 - 33 View
Nov 29, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 1 42 - 34 View
Mar 20, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 5 18 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.