Away team
Vancouver Canucks
38.7%
Fair American
+158
Fair decimal
2.58
Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 26, 2026.
December 26, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 61.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
61.3%
Fair American
-158
Fair decimal
1.63
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 26, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 1-11
- Net units
- -8.44
- ROI
- -70.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:32 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 43 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 45
- Corsi share
- 39.1%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.84 / 3.47
Defense pair
89:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 41 / 78
- Corsi share
- 37.8%
- Fenwick share
- 34.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.98 / 6.05
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 71
- Corsi share
- 57.3%
- Fenwick share
- 56.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.69 / 4.86
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vancouver Canucks
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 188
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 37.8
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.09
- xG against / game
- 4.36
- xG differential / game
- -2.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.20
- xG differential / game
- -0.48
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 43.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 40.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 39.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 48.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VAN
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| 0.192 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 37 | Goals for | 28 |
| 60 | Goals against | 41 |
| -23 | Goal differential | -13 |
| L4 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
VAN road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -15 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
VAN
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 0-9-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 1 | Points | 10 |
| 20 | Goals for | 27 |
| 45 | Goals against | 35 |
| -25 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VAN
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
4 wins
Total goals35 – 30
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.5 / 3.0
Shots per game28.5 / 25.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 7 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Nov 23, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 2 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 5 | 18 - 26 | View |
| Mar 12, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 3 | 29 - 32 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
6 - 5 | 26 - 24 | View |
| Apr 16, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 4 | 40 - 31 | View |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 26 | View |