Skip to content

Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 28, 2026.

March 28, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

95:45 together · 10 games

xG share44.6%
Corsi for / against
67 / 87
Fenwick for / against
50 / 69
Corsi share
43.5%
Fenwick share
42.0%
xG for / against
3.51 / 4.36
Defense pair

142:34 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
105 / 127
Fenwick for / against
82 / 91
Corsi share
45.3%
Fenwick share
47.4%
xG for / against
4.81 / 5.93
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

93:44 together · 10 games

xG share48.6%
Corsi for / against
90 / 75
Fenwick for / against
68 / 59
Corsi share
54.5%
Fenwick share
53.5%
xG for / against
3.76 / 3.98
Defense pair

91:22 together · 7 games

xG share51.2%
Corsi for / against
75 / 83
Fenwick for / against
58 / 63
Corsi share
47.5%
Fenwick share
47.9%
xG for / against
3.20 / 3.06
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Kevin Lankinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Mar 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
144
Save %
88.2
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
36.8

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
87.9
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
34.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.56
xG against / game
3.35
xG differential / game
-0.80

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.81
xG against / game
3.22
xG differential / game
-0.41

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.5
Corsi share (%)
45.0
Fenwick share (%)
45.0
Faceoff win %
55.1
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 22.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.4
Corsi share (%)
48.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.2
Faceoff win %
49.6
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
7Points10
0.250Points %0.455
43Goals for28
65Goals against41
-22Goal differential-13
W1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
8Games7
2Wins4
5Points8
-14Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
1-8-1Record5-5-0
3Points10
24Goals for27
47Goals against35
-23Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 4 wins
Total goals34 – 30
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.4 / 3.0
Shots per game26.9 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 23, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 21 - 31 View
Oct 9, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 5 18 - 26 View
Mar 12, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 31 - 23 View
Dec 31, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 24 - 29 View
Nov 12, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 3 29 - 32 View
Oct 9, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 5 26 - 24 View
Apr 16, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 40 - 31 View
Mar 23, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 4 24 - 26 View
Dec 2, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 22 - 24 View
Nov 16, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 5 22 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.