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Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 27, 2026.

October 27, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

50.6% Model pick
at
Home

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-0

49.4%
Model V2 pick: Vancouver Canucks at 50.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Away team

Vancouver Canucks

50.6%
Fair American -102
Fair decimal 1.98
Best market +180 · FanDuel
Market implied 35.7%
Edge +14.9%
Expected value +41.7%
Calculate value
Anaheim Ducks logo
Home team

Anaheim Ducks

49.4%
Fair American +102
Fair decimal 2.02
Best market -220 · FanDuel
Market implied 68.8%
Edge -19.4%
Expected value -28.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 27, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
6
Record
4-2
Net units
2.13
ROI
35.5%

Value Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
3.94
ROI
78.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.15
ROI
-7.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

40:52 together · 6 games

xG share59.0%
Corsi for / against
38 / 38
Fenwick for / against
25 / 24
Corsi share
50.0%
Fenwick share
51.0%
xG for / against
2.17 / 1.50
Defense pair

86:16 together · 10 games

xG share36.5%
Corsi for / against
77 / 88
Fenwick for / against
54 / 64
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
45.8%
xG for / against
3.41 / 5.93
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Vancouver Canucks

Kevin Lankinen 50.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Kevin Lankinen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
+0.497
Prev save pct
-0.332
Goalie win pct before
-0.302
Started last game
+0.209
Team played yesterday
-0.209
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Anaheim Ducks

Lukas Dostal 88.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Lukas Dostal?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.199
Won previous appearance
+0.319
Days since last start
+0.315
Started last game
-0.280
Prev save pct
-0.189
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.91
xG against / game
3.60
xG differential / game
-0.70

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.4
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
44.7
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
5Points10
0.192Points %0.455
37Goals for32
60Goals against37
-23Goal differential-5
L4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
7Games4
1Wins1
3Points2
-15Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
0-9-1Record4-6-0
1Points8
20Goals for28
45Goals against34
-25Goal differential-6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 2 wins
Total goals35 – 25
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game3.5 / 2.5
Shots per game29.4 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 12, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 3 26 - 27 View
Mar 24, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 3 34 - 30 View
Jan 29, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 2 33 - 26 View
Nov 26, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 4 28 - 41 View
Apr 5, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 6 32 - 26 View
Mar 5, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 3 16 - 36 View
Feb 27, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 5 24 - 25 View
Nov 5, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 37 - 22 View
Mar 31, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 3 22 - 30 View
Mar 3, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 1 31 - 18 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VAN ANA