Forward trio
90:12 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 79 / 89
- Fenwick for / against
- 51 / 71
- Corsi share
- 47.0%
- Fenwick share
- 41.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 5.25
Utah Mammoth vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026
NHL matchup
Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2026.
March 3, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
135:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 117
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 82
- Corsi share
- 46.8%
- Fenwick share
- 49.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.88 / 5.48
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
47:10 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 54 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 42 / 29
- Corsi share
- 52.9%
- Fenwick share
- 59.2%
- xG for / against
- 3.17 / 2.54
Defense pair
73:03 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 57 / 49
- Corsi share
- 53.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.22 / 4.12
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 1
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 30.5
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Feb 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 85.9
- Goals allowed
- 21
- Close-range shots %
- 32.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 3.00
- xG against / game
- 3.12
- xG differential / game
- -0.13
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.19
- xG against / game
- 3.64
- xG differential / game
- -0.45
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.9
- Faceoff win %
- 53.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 25.1 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 50.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 28.3 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
UTA
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 47 | Goals for | 39 |
| 43 | Goals against | 34 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
UTA road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
UTA
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 35 | Goals for | 34 |
| 38 | Goals against | 32 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
No recent head-to-head games found