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Utah Mammoth vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 21, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 21, 2026.

December 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 53.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

46.8%
Fair American +114
Fair decimal 2.14
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 21, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
11
Record
7-4
Net units
1.27
ROI
11.6%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
5-2
Net units
2.46
ROI
35.2%

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
1.21
ROI
13.5%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

69:58 together · 7 games

xG share77.8%
Corsi for / against
101 / 56
Fenwick for / against
75 / 37
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
6.21 / 1.77
Defense pair

119:15 together · 10 games

xG share61.9%
Corsi for / against
146 / 103
Fenwick for / against
100 / 71
Corsi share
58.6%
Fenwick share
58.5%
xG for / against
7.66 / 4.72
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
84.7
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
26.6

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.73
xG against / game
2.81
xG differential / game
0.92

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.4
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
55.3
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
16Points5
0.667Points %0.192
46Goals for37
40Goals against60
6Goal differential-23
W1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
7Games6
4Wins1
8Points2
1Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
6-4-0Record0-9-1
12Points1
36Goals for20
39Goals against45
-3Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 3 wins
3 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 0 wins
Total goals17 – 7
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game5.67 / 2.33
Shots per game20.7 / 26.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 4, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
7 - 4 24 - 23 View
Feb 2, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
2 - 6 23 - 20 View
Dec 5, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 18 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.