Away team
Utah Mammoth
54.5%
Fair American
-120
Fair decimal
1.83
Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 29, 2026.
October 29, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Utah Mammoth at 54.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
45.5%
Fair American
+120
Fair decimal
2.2
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 29, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 1.27
- ROI
- 11.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 2.46
- ROI
- 35.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.21
- ROI
- 13.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:58 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 37
- Corsi share
- 64.3%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.21 / 1.77
Defense pair
119:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 146 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 100 / 71
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.5%
- xG for / against
- 7.66 / 4.72
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Utah Mammoth
Expected starter unavailable.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 124
- Save %
- 84.7
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 26.6
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 3.73
- xG against / game
- 2.81
- xG differential / game
- 0.92
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.3
- Faceoff win %
- 53.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
UTA
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 11 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 46 | Goals for | 40 |
| 40 | Goals against | 40 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
UTA road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 8 | Points | 8 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
UTA
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 36 | Goals for | 27 |
| 39 | Goals against | 35 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
UTA
2 wins
3
games reviewed
PIT
1 wins
Total goals13 – 12
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game4.33 / 4.0
Shots per game31.7 / 19.3
Utah Mammoth
