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Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 5, 2026.

March 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

90:12 together · 9 games

xG share44.7%
Corsi for / against
79 / 89
Fenwick for / against
51 / 71
Corsi share
47.0%
Fenwick share
41.8%
xG for / against
4.23 / 5.25
Defense pair

137:36 together · 10 games

xG share51.5%
Corsi for / against
107 / 120
Fenwick for / against
73 / 81
Corsi share
47.1%
Fenwick share
47.4%
xG for / against
5.36 / 5.04
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

72:49 together · 9 games

xG share57.1%
Corsi for / against
49 / 61
Fenwick for / against
36 / 42
Corsi share
44.5%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
3.25 / 2.44
Defense pair

140:20 together · 10 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
101 / 112
Fenwick for / against
73 / 84
Corsi share
47.4%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
5.28 / 5.46
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.6

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
93.6
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
31.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
2.95
xG against / game
3.07
xG differential / game
-0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.81
xG against / game
2.72
xG differential / game
0.09

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.6
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
47.1
Faceoff win %
53.2
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 24.3 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.5
Corsi share (%)
48.4
Fenwick share (%)
48.1
Faceoff win %
44.5
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
16Points10
0.615Points %0.357
47Goals for27
43Goals against46
4Goal differential-19
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
7Games8
4Wins2
8Points7
1Goal differential-11
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
6-4-0Record3-5-2
12Points8
35Goals for22
38Goals against29
-3Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
1 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 0 wins
Total goals5 – 4
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game5.0 / 4.0
Shots per game27.0 / 29.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 21, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
4 - 5 29 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.