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Utah Mammoth vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 4, 2026.

October 4, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Away

Utah Mammoth

8-5-0

2 Model pick
Final
Home

New York Rangers

7-6-1

4
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 54.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Utah Mammoth logo
Away team

Utah Mammoth

54.3%
Fair American -119
Fair decimal 1.84
Best market +110 · BetRivers
Market implied 47.6%
Edge +6.7%
Expected value +14.0%
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

45.7%
Fair American +119
Fair decimal 2.19
Best market -123 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 55.2%
Edge -9.5%
Expected value -17.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 4, 2026.

Utah Mammoth

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.37
ROI
68.5%

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.89
ROI
89.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.37
ROI
68.5%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

28:44 together · 2 games

xG share56.4%
Corsi for / against
23 / 20
Fenwick for / against
17 / 13
Corsi share
53.5%
Fenwick share
56.7%
xG for / against
1.01 / 0.78
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

41:34 together · 3 games

xG share46.3%
Corsi for / against
36 / 34
Fenwick for / against
22 / 22
Corsi share
51.4%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
1.47 / 1.71
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sebastian Cossa

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 3

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
19
Save %
94.7
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
31.6

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 2

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
22
Save %
100.0
Goals allowed
0
Close-range shots %
31.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.74
xG against / game
2.20
xG differential / game
1.54

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.54
xG against / game
2.30
xG differential / game
0.24

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
68.5
Corsi share (%)
59.6
Fenwick share (%)
61.1
Faceoff win %
56.9
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 31.5 · Shooting: 15.9% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

New York Rangers

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
47.3
Corsi share (%)
46.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.6
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
16Points15
0.615Points %0.536
47Goals for44
43Goals against42
4Goal differential2
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
7Games7
4Wins6
8Points12
1Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
6-4-0Record4-5-1
12Points9
35Goals for33
38Goals against36
-3Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 2 wins
2 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 0 wins
Total goals6 – 4
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.0 / 2.0
Shots per game30.0 / 23.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 5, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 26 - 24 View
Nov 22, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
2 - 3 22 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings UTA NYR